Ok, quit stalling and answer the next one!Quote:
Originally Posted by edball
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Ok, quit stalling and answer the next one!Quote:
Originally Posted by edball
Rastus gets 2Quote:
Originally Posted by a d e p t
Wig, Twig and Swig each get 47.
Dad gets one.
The field is 12x12.
As a matter of fact, the mollusc DOES have some wrath you should beware of. Adept, the correct answer is that you have a 67% chance of being successful if you switch doors... edball has only indicated a 50% chance in his answer above.Quote:
Originally Posted by edball
Although the 33% posted later does tell you he is on the right track,
SINCE WHEN DO 33% and 50% ADD UP TO 100%?
Sounds to me like edball's mind is only 83% there today... :D
I can't argue with that.... :DQuote:
Originally Posted by Wayward Clam
Wayward, you don't even know the correct answer to your own question. You can't add statistics from two different ratios, which is what you are trying to do when you come up with the 67%. 50% is correct, because this is a ratio of two, instead of three...
You really are dumb, aren't you... :eek2:
Hoo boy. At least now we get to argue over something in which personal opinions are irrelevant.Quote:
Originally Posted by Ya_know
Here's how it works Ya_Know. At no point was there ever a 50% chance involved in the process... that number is erroneous. There never WAS a second "ratio"... only the first one.
At the beginning of the process, your original choice has a 67% chance of being wrong.
At the end of the process, your original choice STILL has a 67% chance of being wrong. Nothing has changed that probability.
Therefore, the other choice has a 67% chance of being right.
Probability must ALWAYS add up to 100% If one choice has a 50% chance of being right, the other choice MUST have a 50% chance as well.
You're wrong this time, Ya_Know. And none of your "charisma" can get you out of it. :p
The probabilities changed when one of the doors was eliminated. Originally, 1/3, after elimination 1/2.Quote:
Originally Posted by Wayward Clam
Adept, I suggest the removal of edball's points. :D :D :DQuote:
Originally Posted by edball
The probabilities did NOT change.
Proof that Ya_Know and edball are wrong:
http://www.comedia.com/hot/monty-answer.html
Other supporting documentation (and there is a LOT of it):
http://www.geometry.net/detail/theor...l_problem.html
You must live in "The Now" grasshopper...Take away everything that happened before...now one door has a car, the other a goat. What are the odds that your door is a car ?Quote:
Originally Posted by Wayward Clam
Wow.Quote:
Originally Posted by Wayward Clam
Hey dude, you said it *might* get controversial! https://forums.windrivers.com/images.../2005/03/1.gif
I opt not to remove edball's points, simply on the grounds that his answer is valid if you compare the second set of options to the remaining number of possibilities, not the original one. 50% is "correct" then.
[sarcasm_mode=ON]
Also, it would be deeply intolerant of me to discriminate against him in that way just because his solution did not exactly match the expected, traditional answer. It's important to remain open-minded about these things, truth being relative and all. https://forums.windrivers.com/images.../2005/03/1.gif
[sarcasm_mode=OFF]
I couldn't pass that up - the opportunity was gold!
Seriously though, I think I'll give you another bonus point just for giving us that one. That was great.
We seriously lacked action in here. :D
That's not what I get.Quote:
Originally Posted by edball
I think what adept is trying to elude to is that both answers are correct to a degree of perception. But as Eball points out, your perception is just plain stupid... :pQuote:
Originally Posted by Wayward Clam
Funny how the world's smartest human being agrees with me and not you.Quote:
Originally Posted by Ya_know
And quite frankly, if you're going to descend to unprovoked and unjustified attacks like that, I'm taking my ball and going home. Enjoy the game without me.
I'm one hundred percent certain you will make fun of me for this decision. However, I'm also 100% certain that I won't lose a wink of sleep over the fact.
Not that you really know what 100% means, but feel free to look it up :D
Cheers!
You know I suck at math... :sad:Quote:
Originally Posted by a d e p t
Don't leave ! The game is just getting fun. I apologize for anything insulting that I said or insinuated. I was just "funning" with you. ;)Quote:
Originally Posted by Wayward Clam