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September 14th, 2004, 12:15 PM
#1
Registered User
Uh-Oh, Some More Bad News for the Demos
From CNN, dated September 13, 2004:
Poll: Bush bounce persists
Last week's seismic voter shift to George W. Bush showed no signs of dwindling in this week's Time Poll. Bush continues to lead Democratic challenger John Kerry among likely voters by double digits, 52% - 41%, in the three way race, with Nader at 3%, the same as last week.
Putting this into perspective, just a month ago, post-Democratic convention, the Time Poll had Kerry with a statistically significant lead over Bush, 48% - 43%.
Kerry's Woes
Troubling for Kerry is that the Republicans have continued to shift the nation's agenda toward terrorism, a Bush stronghold, and away from the economy, as the voters' decisive issue. Terrorism is now at 26%, up 8 points from early August, among registered voters.
Republicans, both at the New York convention last week and since, have pounded Kerry on the terrorism issue. The economy, long a Kerry strength, has slipped to second place, at 24%, down 3 points since early August among registered voters.
Even more damaging to Kerry is that Bush now has a 6 point lead on handling of the economy, 50% - 44%. Just one month ago, Kerry had the edge, 51% - 42%.
Bush has also taken commanding leads over Kerry on handing of the following issues:
War on terrorism: Bush is up 23 percentage points over Kerry, 58% - 35%, compared to an 8 point lead in early August.
Situation in Iraq: Bush is up 20 points over Kerry, 57% - 37%, compared to a 2 point edge in early August.
Commander in Chief: Bush is up 20 points over Kerry, 57% - 37%, compared to a tie in early August.
Kerry now has only a small edge on health care, 47% - 42%, falling from an 18 point margin in early August. He's now just even up with Bush, 47% Bush -- 44% Kerry, on "understanding the needs of people like yourself," after leading Bush by 15 points in early August.
Bush Favorability Up, Kerry Down
Bush's favorability scores have risen significantly, to 54% favorable - 38% unfavorable. In early August, his favorability was even, 45% favorable -- 45% unfavorable. Meanwhile, Kerry's unfavorable ratings have increased significantly. His favorable -- unfavorable scores are now even, 43% favorable -- 42% unfavorable. In early August, Kerry favorable -- unfavorable ratio was almost 2 to 1, 53% favorable -- 29% unfavorable.
It's really starting to slip away for Kerry and his cohorts...and fast too!
Compare this thread to the wetheads lame thread:
Widows of 9/11 endorse John Kerry ...where a total of 5 widows have thrown their considerable support behind Kerry.
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September 14th, 2004, 02:51 PM
#2
Registered User
From CNN/Money:
Fund Managers Overwhelmingly Expect Bush Re-election
Of 290 fund managers surveyed by Merrill Lynch shortly after the Republican National Convention, about 66 percent said they believed Bush would win re-election in November, while just 20 percent expected a Kerry victory. Fifteen percent said they didn't know who would win.
It's no secret that many on Wall Street would prefer a second Bush term, fearing that Kerry would try to repeal tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans and that he would be less corporate-friendly in his regulatory policies.
Some 31 percent of fund managers said they believed a Kerry victory would hurt U.S. financial markets, while 14 percent said it would have a positive impact and 48 percent said it would make no difference. Seven percent said they didn't know.
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September 14th, 2004, 02:53 PM
#3
And once the debates start those number will all jumble up again
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September 14th, 2004, 03:02 PM
#4
Registered User
 Originally Posted by Cleetus
And once the debates start those number will all jumble up again
It's entirely possible...but I don't think so.
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September 14th, 2004, 03:20 PM
#5
 Originally Posted by JaxSon
It's entirely possible...but I don't think so.
I think so, they will flip flop more then both the candidates combined
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September 14th, 2004, 03:22 PM
#6
Registered User
I think it's because most Americans are idiots, and are easily led around by sound bites, lip service, and spin from both parties. The numbers will bounce around as the mud is slung, and in the end the one who dives across the finish line first will win. The mudslinging is getting old.
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September 24th, 2004, 10:04 AM
#7
Registered User

CNN survey: Bush widens lead in Electoral College (dated Thursday, September 23, 2004)
If the election were held today, Bush would receive 301 electoral votes to Kerry's 237, according to a CNN survey based on state polling as well as interviews with campaign aides and independent analysts. A candidate wins the election with 270 electoral votes, regardless of the popular vote.
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September 24th, 2004, 10:18 AM
#8
Registered User
 Originally Posted by JaxSon
Wrong. That map does not project the nearly 117 swing electoral votes. Think again.
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September 24th, 2004, 10:28 AM
#9
Registered User
 Originally Posted by WebHead
Wrong. That map does not project the nearly 117 swing electoral votes. Think again.
Read it again...CNN went ahead and declared winners for all states. Of course, that could all change by November. But again, this is a "snapshot of how CNN believes the race stands today."
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September 24th, 2004, 10:31 AM
#10
Registered User
 Originally Posted by JaxSon
Read it again...CNN went ahead and declared winners for all states. Of course, that could all change by November. But again, this is a "snapshot of how CNN believes the race stands today."
Oh right! How the heck can CNN know which way the swings will go? LMAO. Do you believe everything you read?
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September 24th, 2004, 11:52 AM
#11
Banned
 Originally Posted by WebHead
Oh right! How the heck can CNN know which way the swings will go? LMAO. Do you believe everything you read?
Listen to you! I don't think he believes that CNN can predict the winner, or determine swing votes, what he IS saying, is this is what CNN is reporting...
Not everyone is as blind as you Webbie...
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September 24th, 2004, 11:53 AM
#12
Registered User
I'd say the map is accurate based off looking at the map from the 2000 election.

However, it is very possible if not likely that both Ohio and Florida will go to Kerry this time. That would be enough votes to make him president.
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September 24th, 2004, 11:53 AM
#13
Registered User
 Originally Posted by Ya_know
Listen to you! I don't think he believes that CNN can predict the winner, or determine swing votes, what he IS saying, is this is what CNN is reporting...
Not everyone is as blind as you Webbie...
[O'Reilly] SHUTUP! [/O'Reilly]
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September 24th, 2004, 11:55 AM
#14
Banned
 Originally Posted by WebHead
[O'Reilly] SHUTUP! [/O'Reilly]
I am getting good at calling you out...
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September 24th, 2004, 11:57 AM
#15
Registered User
 Originally Posted by Ya_know
I am getting good at calling you out... 
You are also good at giving men **** ***'s. So what else is new?
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